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ACCIDENTS PAST, ACCIDENTS FUTURE:



       SAFETY IN THE AGE OF UNMANNED AVIATION












        (Adapted with permission from
        the author’s technical paper              he theme of the 2019 ISASI annual   information to understand the hazards,
        Accidents Past, Accidents Future:         seminar is “Future Safety: Has the   and regulators would ensure that the
        Safety in the Age of Unmanned             Past Become Irrelevant?” This is a   rules under which new entrants are
        Aviation presented during ISASI      Ttimely and necessary issue to take   granted access would be applied fairly
        2019, Sept. 3–5, 2019, in The Hague,   up in the context of unmanned aviation.   and uniformly. Indeed, this has been the
        the Netherlands, by Gerard de        There are few directly relatable lessons   case for generations as the framework
        Rover. The theme for ISASI 2019      learned upon which to base a path    for allowing experimental and homebuilt
        was “Future Safety: Has the Past     forward for the certification and opera-  aircraft and less comprehensively trained
        Become Irrelevant?” The full         tion of remotely piloted aircraft systems   pilots has evolved to incorporate all safely
        presentation can be found on the
        ISASI website at www.isasi.org in    (RPAS). Still, countless analogies can   into the overall aviation system.
        the Library tab under Technical      and should be drawn to the evolution of   At its core, unmanned aviation is just
        Presentations.—Editor)               manned aviation and the history of major   another form of aviation, and unmanned
                                             aviation accidents to date in considering   aircraft are just a different breed of air-
                                             how RPAS should join and participate in   craft. However, the “unmanned aviation
                                             the greater flying community. At the same   sector” is a very different collection of
                                             time, the historical record is extremely   interests, with very different priorities
                                             important as a means to avoid repeating   from the pioneers of manned aviation.
                                             in the unmanned domain errors first   Its proponents and practitioners have
                                             identified in manned aviation.       consistently sought to operate as free of
                                               Throughout the first century of pow-  regulatory constraints as they can.
                                             ered flight, aviators and engineers    Two seemingly conflicting arguments
                                             constantly ran afoul of what they did   regarding unmanned aviation frequently
                                             not know about the flying environment,   are raised in advocating for widespread
                                             the demands it put on both pilots and   expansion of the unmanned sector. The
                                             aircraft, and the complexities of keeping   first is that RPAS can safely be employed
                                             ever-faster and more numerous air-   in support of a wide range of “integrated”
                                             craft safely separated from one another.   operations, including those currently car-
        Gerard de Rover                      Painful but essential lessons were learned   ried out by manned aircraft. The second is
                                             through accidents and their investi-  that unmanned aircraft should be allowed
                                             gations. Perhaps most important, the   to operate at will in any class of airspace,
                                             speed with which aviation expanded and   with minimal obligation to adhere to ex-
                                             evolved tended to reduce the likelihood   isting rules governing pilot qualification,
                                             that important preventive measures, once   system certification, aircraft equipage, or
                                             implemented, subsequently would be   even the conduct of aviation operations
                                             abandoned. Lessons learned throughout   themselves.
                                             aviation’s brief history for the most part   In consideration of these two contra-
                                             have stayed learned.                 dictory perspectives, this paper seeks to
                                               Against this backdrop of hard-won   reemphasize the importance of history in
                                             experience, it seems reasonable to as-  the growth of unmanned aviation by ad-
                                             sume that new entrants into the aviation   dressing two key questions with respect
        Thomas A. Farrier                    environment would seek all available   to the relevance of past experience:

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